• Sea Change

    The New York Times today has a long article on Republican discomfort over the worsening situation in Iraq. Quoth Grover: Grover Norquist, a conservative activist with close ties to the White House and Mr. Bush's senior adviser, Karl Rove, said: "If Iraq is in the rearview mirror in the '06 election, the Republicans will do fine. But if it's still in the windshield, there are problems." It gets worse: Pollsters and political analysts pointed to basic opinion shifts that accounted for the political change. Daniel Yankelovich, a pollster who has been studying American attitudes on foreign affairs, said: "I think what's changed over the last year is the assumption that Iraq would make us safer from terrorists to wondering if that actually is the case. And maybe it's the opposite." Richard A. Viguerie, a veteran conservative direct-mail consultant, said Mr. Bush "turned the volume up on his megaphone about as high as it could go to try to tie the war in Iraq to the war on terrorism" last...
  • Next at Bat: Russ Feingold

    In recent weeks, we've been talking a fair amount about how no prominent Democrats are standing up to give voice to the "withdrawal" movement. Well, that changed today. Russ Feingold is calling for a pull-out date of December 31st, 2006, and, so far as I can tell, he's going to do so loudly. Yesterday, I was invited to two major national security speeches and a media Q&A Russ is giving in Los Angeles early next week. So he's definitely taking the message nationwide and is, if I can speculate, hoping to use hist "firstness" on the topic to carve out a Deanesque maverick position in advance of 2008. Interesting stuff. I will, of course, have more on this after next week's events. Update: It'll be interesting, as Kevin notes , to see how the Biden/Clinton wing reacts. If they're solicitous of the move and publicly supportive of the motivations behind it, you'll know that a) the polls have got to them and b) they're hedging their bets. If they condemn it and say something about not...
  • The Bernie Party

    Bored? Looking for some easy, interesting reading? The Nation's profile of Bernie Sanders is just what you need. Or, if you're not feeling like delving into a populist, check out Brad's post on the terrible, oh-so-sad inefficiencies plaguing terror networks. It's the sort of stuff that'd make Michael Bay proud.
  • Better Digs for Sheehan

    Oh, this is brilliant . Fred Mattlage, a Crawford neighbor of Bush and an army veteran, is opening up his land to Sheehan and her encampment, a move that'll give them more space and bring them closer to the President's ranch. I still think Sheehan should be careful about letting this change from a woman's quest to get an answer into a massive antiwar rally where she's just a featured speaker, but either way this'll help the cause.
  • Fight Smart

    Greg's admonishment on Michelle Malkin is exactly correct. And, before the usual suspects rear up to accuse me of softness and appeasement and DC-ness and weakness and giving aid to Republicans and whatever else, remember: it's not attacks that are the problem, it's stupid attacks that backfire on us and do us damage that are the problem. There should be full court press against Michelle Malkin's repulsive smearing of Cindy Sheehan, her little foray into Sheehan's marital status should be plastered over the talkshows as proof of conservative cravenness. This is the time for JuJitsu, letting their poorly aimed, grossly inappropriate attempts at character assassination become the story, destroying the characters of those responsible and making Cindy look even more sympathetic. Instead, we call Malkin a whore, start making fun of her surname, leave threatening messages on her answering machine, and do a thousand things that, if put on O'Reilly, would make us look just as bad as her. You...
  • HSA's for the Poor

    Sam Rosenfeld has a fantastic, highly-comprehensive post on Republican efforts to gut Medicaid and turn it into a capped, "consumer-driven" program at exactly the moment when its expansion and full-funding are most needed. Read it . But remember too that liberals shouldn't be reflexively against certain forms of consumer-driven health care, particularly health reimbursement accounts (or donut hole accounts), where employers/government place X dollars in an account at the beginning of each year, folks spend that money on basic care, once it's exhausted they have a deductible to cover, and then catastrophic kicks in. What Sam's going against is South Carolina's bastardized version, where the amount placed in the account is based on a Risk Assessment, which means each individual is theoretically given a first-dollar infusion in proportion to their health risks. Unfortunately, we have no effective way to calculate risks and, in any case, the amount of bureaucracy, lawsuits, and general...
  • Comparable Worth is Not Equal Pay for Equal Work

    Everyone who thinks John Roberts was inveighing against Equal Pay for Equal Work in those Reagan memos needs to read Sebastian Holsclaw's post on the subject. I very much hope that some Democratic senators ask him about Equal Pay because, as of now, we have no idea how he feels about it. All we know from the memos is that he, like most of us, thinks comparable worth theory is a bad idea.
  • 1787 With Fewer White People

    Harold Meyerson has a very good op-ed on Iraq in today's Washington Post: It looks increasingly as if President Bush may have been off by 74 years in his assessment of Iraq. By deposing the dictatorship of Saddam Hussein, Bush assumed he would bring Iraq to its 1787 moment -- the crafting of a democratic constitution, the birth of a unified republic. Instead, he seems to have brought Iraq to the brink of its own 1861 -- the moment of national dissolution. It's true. I was thinking about this the other day: we like to imagine Iraq's current Constitutional Convention as an analogue, at least of sorts, to the one attended by our own Founding Fathers. But that's a bit off the mark. It's more as if our Found Fathers had to also deal with powerful, represented contingents of newly freed black slaves and politically empowered Native Americans. Could they do it? It's one thing to create a democratic republic of basically similar white people, but quite another to deal with ethnic groups who...
  • The Keystone Kops Go To New York

    Could someone please explain to me why the Democratic primary for mayor of New York is turning into such a slapstick, amateur affair? Not that I have anything major against Bloomberg, but Christ, Democrats need to be muscling into these feeder positions, particularly the ones where the electorate is overwhelmingly on our side. Governor of CA/NY, mayor of NY...we can't keep ceding all this to the other side.
  • Things Are Not All As They Seem

    Hoo boy. Not to make light of it, but Scotland Yard has some 'splaining to do.