Although his proposed tax cut has captured the headlines, President Bush'sbudget is also offering America a radically different path for its two best-lovedprograms, Social Security and Medicare. Until recently, these towering monuments ofsocial insurance were politically untouchable.
Even President Reagan, who was at least honest about his conservative goals, did not dare messwith Social Security. Medicare, until lately, has also been sacrosanct. Both parties have viedwith each other to pose as its champion.
But buried in the fine print of the Bush budget and obscured by its rhetoric are twofundamental changes that would shift costs and risks from the social insurance pool to theindividual for both Medicare and Social Security. As in the campaign, Bush has proved to be amaster of cloaking radically conservative ideas in disarmingly liberal language.
To listen to his budget message, for example, you'd think he was proposing prescription drugcoverage for all seniors. But the fine print reveals that Bush would merely allow olderAmericans to buy whatever drug coverage they could afford from a private insurance company.A tiny minority of low-income seniors who had spent unusually large out-of-pocket sums ondrugs would get modest help from the government.
The speech also talked about saving Medicare. But read the fine print and you find that Bushactually proposes to tap the Medicare accounts for other uses while turning the currentuniversal and public Medicare system into a voucher program.
Under the Bush plan, the government would give you a voucher and let you buy whateverprivate insurance the voucher could cover. If you could only afford a stripped down plan, toobad for you. In Bush-speak, this is known as choice. The voucher approach is also an invitationfor the insurance industry to carve the population into the sick and the well and levy punitivecharges on the sick.
Ever since its enactment in 1965, Medicare has been a universal program financed by taxeslevied according to people's ability to pay with a universal risk pool. Largely because of theopposition of the pharmaceutical industry, which fears controls on its astronomical profits,Medicare has never covered prescription drugs.
So the Medicare program is at a crossroads. We can either take some of the immense surplus,restore Medicare to solvency, and add prescription drug coverage while were at it. That couldcost something like $50 billion a year, or less than a third of what Bush proposes to give backin taxes.
Alternatively, we can shift risks and costs to the individual, as both parties have been doingever since the 1997 budget deal. Indeed, one of the reasons why government has that hugesurplus is that government programs have been cut, and none has taken a bigger hit thanMedicare. If you or a loved one finds a hospital unit bereft of adequate nursing coverage or hasdifficulty getting medical tests you need, one culprit is private managed care and the other is thecut in the Medicare budget.
As my friend Jeff Faux, president of the Economic Policy Institute, puts it, the dictionarydefines a surplus as something left over. But do we really think the money saved fromMedicare cuts is left over or is it money that properly belongs to the care of the sick?
What Bush has in mind for Medicare is just a warmup for his plans for Social Security. Hewants to take nearly a trillion dollars of the projected 10-year budget surplus and use it tounderwrite the partial privatization of Social Security. Money would be diverted from SocialSecurity funds into private retirement accounts.
Privatizing Social Security sounds like a good deal. But it's easy to forget that Social Security isnot like an ordinary savings plan. It provides extra insurance against poverty in old age. Also,you can never outlive it; the checks keep coming. And it has additional benefits for the disabledand for widows and orphans. But turn it into an ordinary personal savings account and you canbe the victim of a down stock market. Or your savings can just run out.
This is the difference between social insurance and having individuals fend for themselves.Maybe Americans are not alert to this radical threat because we take Medicare and SocialSecurity for granted. This would be a good time for a refresher course on the value of socialinsurancewhile we still have it.