Andrew Gelman

Andrew Gelman is a professor of statistics and political science and director of the Applied Statistics Center at Columbia University. He has received the Outstanding Statistical Application award from the American Statistical Association, the award for best article published in the American Political Science Review, and the Council of Presidents of Statistical Societies award for outstanding contributions by a person under the age of 40.

Recent Articles

The redistricting song

Like other political scientists who’ve studied the topic, I think the malign effects of redistricting have been overstated. Nonetheless, this video (by Andrew Bean and David Holmes) is informative, and I agree that nonpartisan redistricting would be better than the current system in the U.S.

Doug Schoen has 2 poll reports

According to Chris Wilson , there are two versions of the report of the Occupy Wall Street poll from so-called hack pollster Doug Schoen. Here’s the report that Azi Paybarah says that Schoen sent to him, and here’s the final question from the poll: And here’s what’s on Schoen’s own website: Very similar, except for that last phrase, “no matter what the cost.” I have no idea which was actually asked to the survey participants, but it’s a reminder of the difficulties of public opinion research—-sometimes you don’t even know what question was asked!

Quick comment to Sides re: Party Discipline

John gives some reasons why viewers of the political scene might think that congressional Republicans are more disciplined than their Democratic counterparts, even if this isn’t really so. I’d like to give one more big reason based on recent history. When Barack Obama became president, congressional Republicans implemented a solid No strategy and were successful at stopping much of the Democrats’ agenda. With only 40% of each of the houses of Congress, the Republicans had few tools except party discipline. To me, it is this impressive achievement that earns congressional Republicans their reputation. Everything John wrote is fine but I think he’s missing the elephant in the room (so to speak).

Hack pollster Doug Schoen misrepresents his own poll

In the Wall Street Journal , of all places! What happened? They couldn’t get John Yoo to write something on short notice?