...Obama is going to beat Hillary. The Obama people seem very bouyant, the Clintons not. David Axelrod, Obama campaign chair says he stopped trying to figure out if Clinton is doing down-in-the-mouth routine to lower expectations because they think she's gonna win or because she's going to lose.
"I'm over-spun," he said. "Let's just put our cards on the table now."
Had a chance to corner, first, Gov. Bill Richardson, and then Sen. Joe Biden, at the Polk County Convention Center, which is ground zero tonight for the caucus results porting. I asked them both about how they felt their campaigns had finished, but also about any deal-making between the campaigns and what they thought might happen among the three top-tier candidates.
Richardson, on him making deals, his goal for tonight, and the finish among the Top Three:
It's still unclear whether there are second-choice directives from other second-tier candidacies beyond that of Dennis Kucinich to caucus with Barack Obama, and maybe Obama won't need such green lights because the caucus-goers will make that decision themselves. (I asked David Plouffe about this last night and his stock answer was basically that it matters which county and precinct, which is obviously true but not very helpful.)