Before the early (often inaccurate) exit polls start trickling in from Indiana and North Carolina, let’s just state in advance that if Barack Obama wins both states, that’s it for Hillary Clinton; conversely, if she wins both, whatever his numerical advantages in pledged delegates, and despite the fact that he has shrunk her lead among superdelegates into the teens now, he enters a very dangerous stage.
I meant to get to this yesterday, but since the arguments are still plenty fresh, check out Frank Rich’s column in the Sunday New York Times ; it may be the best thing written during the post-Jeremiah Wright phase of the Democratic primary battle.
I was as surprised as most everyone else this past Sunday afternoon at a Washington party to celebrate Arianna Huffington’s new book, Right is Wrong, when in her remarks to the assembled Huffington said John and Cindy McCain confessed to her after the 2000 election (back when Arianna was still on the dark side) that neither of them voted for George W. Bush.
I have new piece out today in Salon arguing that, had Hillary Clinton kept her support levels to just 20 percent among African Americans, she would be leading the popular vote and down probably 100 total delegates.
I got to know Sid Blumenthal four years ago when he asked me to write a Salon piece about the decline of the Howard Dean campaign. He seemed like a nice enough person and a good editor. Over the years I’ve asked him for advice. I like his son, Max, a lot: Great guy, great progressive, and master of the gotcha video interview.