RSS Feeds Feeds: Articles | Issues
Articles About TAP Subscribe Donate
TAPPED  |  Beat the Press

Remember Me
Forgot your password?

The symbol identifies content for paid subscribers only.


 


Dean Baker's commentary on economic reporting

NPR Misleds Listeners About U.S. and China, Again

Morning Edition had another segment misinforming listeners about China's relation with the United States. After first telling listeners that China deliberately keeps down the value of its currency in order to maintain its export market in the United States, NPR said that re-valuing the yuan was unlikely to be a top priority in negotiations, since the United States will be more concerned about having China continue to finance its deficit.

Actually, financing the U.S. deficit is exactly the mechanism that China uses to keep down the value of their currency. China buys dollar denominated assets, like U.S. government bonds. This keeps up the value of the dollar relative to the yuan. In other words, if we want China to finance our deficit, then we don't want them to revalue the yuan.

It would have helpful to point out what would happen if China did not continue to buy up large amounts of bonds. This would cause interest rates to rise, unless the Fed stepped in by buying bonds. The Fed can be every bit as effective as in keeping down interest rates in buying bonds as China. And, there need be little concern about inflation in a situation of near double-digit unemployment, although China's decision to stop propping up the dollar against the yuan will lead to some inflation, as the price on imports from China rises.

It is worth noting that Nicholas Lardy, the expert from the Peterson Institute who was the main source for this story, is widely known for predicting since the late 90s that China's economy would be decimated by the collapse of its banking system.

--Dean Baker



COMMENTS

You said:

"The Fed can be every bit as effective as in keeping down interest rates in buying bonds as China."

What magnitudes are we talking about here? How many T-bonds does China currently hold? How many could the Fed buy to replace that demand?

Post a comment


Renew your print subscription or e-subscription.
Get an e-subscription for $14.95.
Give the gift of political insight. Send The American Prospect to a friend.
Change your email address or street address.
YES! I want to receive The American Prospect
— the essential source for progressive ideas.
Explore The American Prospect's award-winning investigative journalism and provocative essays in a free trial issue. Continue receiving The American Prospect at only $19.95 for a one-year subscription - a savings of 60% off the newsstand price!
First Name
Last Name
Address 1
Address 2
City
State
ZIP     
Email

Should you decide not to continue receiving the magazine after the initial free issue, simply write "cancel" on the invoice and you will not be billed.

© 2009 by The American Prospect, Inc.  |  Privacy Policy  |  Permissions and Reprints