Financial crisis

The Issue Europe Won’t Face

(Flickr/Davide Olivia)

 

Europe’s leaders emerged far apart at their summit dinner in Brussels Wednesday night. They could not even agree on relatively easy measures to contain the escalating crisis, such as Eurobonds or a greater role for the European Central Bank (ECB).

But at the core of the crisis is an issue that Europe’s leaders are even more reluctant to take on—the ease with which hedge funds and other speculators can drive a small economy into the ground.

Financial Sector Amnesty

In the midst of the bankruptcy reform debate, Senator Dick Durbin flatly stated that when it comes to Capitol Hill, the banks "frankly own the place." They might as well have said the same thing about federal prosecutors and regulators with responsibility over the financial sector. Starting in 2005, The New York Times reports, the Justice Department opted for "deferred prosecution agreements" with banks and mortgage companies in lieu of actually prosecuting them.

In the Name of Capitalism

The New Yorker's James Surowiecki argues that Elizabeth Warren is in fact a friend of capitalism:

The core principle of Warren’s work is also a cornerstone of economic theory: well-informed consumers make for vigorous competition and efficient markets. That idea is embodied in the design of the new agency, which focuses on improving the information that consumers get from banks and other financial institutions, so that they can do the kind of comparison shopping that makes the markets for other consumer products work so well.

Dissenting Economics Deja Vu

I have been to this conference before. The critics of standard economics make a devastating critique of the unreality of the conventional economic model. It operates outside of historic time, makes absurd assumptions about self-correcting markets, ignores self-reinforcing behaviors, and excludes shocks that cannot be modeled, as well as cases of plain corruption. The case is just irrefutable, more now than ever, since the financial collapse.
 
George Soros uses the term “reflexivity” to describe tendency of actual economies to defy the premise that the ideal economy will move towards equilibrium. He made his fortune by understanding these irrationalities better than others, and investing accordingly.
 

The Failure of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission -- and of Facts.

We had high hopes indeed for the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission -- the New Pecora Commission, if you will -- when it got underway this year. But Shahien Nasiripour reports that partisanship has riven the commission and that the panel's Republicans, who have been limiting their participation in the effort since August, will release a dissenting minority report before the FCIC's official product is due:

A European Agreement Is More Important Than Ireland's $90 Billion Bailout.

Over the weekend, global financial institutions officially bailed out Ireland. $90 billion in loans will go to the Irish government, which in turn will use most of them to bail out the banks, leaving little left over for upcoming emergencies. Felix Salmon has already called the amount "underwhelming," and he's right -- if history is any guide, this "package," as the IMFers call it these deals, will not stem growing concerns about sovereign debt, nor will it be a reprieve for other European countries teetering on the edge of default.

More TARP Please.

Tim Fernholz says a jobs bill pending in the House will give Democrats a new opportunity to make the case for their economic policies.

The Long Shock.

Tim Fernholz asks whether the recession will ever be over:

The Reinharts found that economic growth lags for years after a financial crisis ends. Advanced economies in particular feel the effect on their labor markets, with each that has faced a post-World War II financial crisis seeing higher unemployment after the crisis than before. This, in turn, suggests that what the United States faces is not a "cyclical" crisis but rather a long-term shock to the economy, something different from what we've experienced since World War II in the United States.

KEEP READING …

Does High Debt Cause Problems -- Or Is It a Symptom?

There's a nice economics fight going on between William Galston and Paul Krugman. Galston, essentially, adopts the posture of the debt hawk, citing concerns from Carmen Reinhardt and Kenneth Rogoff that increasing debt to more than 90 percent of GDP (the U.S. won't get there for a decade) will cramp our growth.

Bring On A Bank Tax.

One upcoming concern for the financial-reform conference is what to do about a resolution fund. Under the House bill, regulators would collect a $150 billion tax on big financial institutions so that regulators have funds available to liquidate a firm in the case of its failure. The Senate took its $50 billion liquidation fund out of the bill because Republicans preferred seeing taxpayers fund the resolution of a failing bank, rather than the banks themselves.

Washington Stands Up to Wall Street.

Tim Fernholz on how financial reform seems to be proceeding apace without undue influence from the banks.

Last year, in a landmark essay, economist Simon Johnson observed that the dynamics of the financial crisis made the United States look more like an emerging market economy, with all the rampant crony capitalism and corruption that entails, than a developed country with an efficient, modern financial market.

How Much Did the Financial Crisis Cost You?

Senate Democrats are trumpeting this Pew study that outlines the broader costs of the financial crisis:

  • $100,000 – The cost to the typical American family in combined losses from declining stock and home values.
  • $360 billion – The estimated loss in wages due to slower economic growth from October 2008 through December 2009 – $3,250 on average per U.S. household.
  • 5.5 million – The number of additional jobs lost due to slower economic growth during the financial crisis, compared to the September 2008 CBO predictions.

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