Mitt Romney

Is Jon Hunstman Running for 2012, or 2016?

I'm siding with the Prospect's Jamelle Bouie over Paul Waldman on Jon Hunstman's decision to enter the 2012 presidential field. Between his moderate record and Republican primary voters' sharp rightward swing since the Tea Party came along, there doesn't seem to be a viable path for Huntsman to win the GOP nomination.

Romney to Make Futile Attempt to Fix Health-Care Problem

According to Time's Mark Halperin, on Thursday, Mitt Romney will deliver a speech on health care, "complete with PowerPoint presentation," explaining how he'll repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act with something better. This could be because Mitt has been working hard on this issue and cares about it deeply, or it could be because Mitt's biggest problem with Republican primary voters is that he passed a plan in Massachusetts very similar to the Affordable Care Act, or as The Onion put it, "Mitt Romney Haunted By Past of Trying to Help Uninsured Sick People."

Same-Sex Marriage on Conservatives' 2012 Agenda

During the 2004 election, the GOP pushed anti-same-sex marriage amendments onto the ballot across the country to turnout their base voters for George W. Bush’s re-election campaign. LGBTQ civil rights may once again be at stake in the 2012 election season if a series of connected state-level conservative organizations have their way. At The Minnesota Independent Andy Birkey details an extensive effort underway called "Ignite an Enduring Cultural Transformation," which seeks to fund ballot initiatives against same-sex marriage in 15 different states next year.

Slow 2012 Start Hurts Fundraising For State GOPs

Yesterday Mitt Romney confirmed that he will skip the first GOP presidential debate scheduled for this Thursday in Greenville, South Carolina. Romney's decision is the latest delaying tactic among prominent 2012ers, with each of the major candidates holding off on making the full commitment to a presidential run. Only four candidates -- Tim Pawlenty, Ron Paul, Rick Santorum and Herman Cain -- are slotted to participate in Thursday's debate, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Donald Trump and the Birthers

According to the latest survey from Public Policy Polling, Donald Trump is doing incredibly well with the Republican primary electorate:

Trump's broken the perpetual gridlock we've found at the top of the Republican field, getting 26% to 17% for Mike Huckabee, 15% for Romney, 11% for Newt Gingrich, 8% for Sarah Palin, 5% for Ron Paul, and 4% for Michele Bachmann and Tim Pawlenty.

Romney's Health-Care Record: Does It Help or Hurt?

First Read points out that Mitt Romney announced his candidacy for the presidency yesterday and it was a day before the fifth anniversary of the passage of healthcare reform in Massachusetts. The guys at First Read write:

Yet it may be fitting that Romney jumped into the presidential waters so close to that anniversary, because Massachusetts’ law will define his primary candidacy. He either figures out how to navigate and wins the nomination, or the issue kills his chances. It may be that simple.

Black Sheep

The big story this morning in New York, where most people don't have friends or family who'll be directly affected by the government shut down, is the resignation of Cathie Black, Mayor Bloomberg's choice for education chancellor.

2012 and the Culture War

With the country growing less white by the year, and Democrats currently enjoying huge electoral advantages among the nonwhite, will the Republicans double down on their strategy of stoking white grievance? Our Adam Serwer says yes, Jonathan Chait says probably not, or at least they'd be dumb to do so. But it's worth thinking about whom and what we're talking when we talk about what "Republicans" will "do."

The Great Man Fallacy in Politics

Time's Joe Klein feels embarrassed for the country whenever he sees the current crop of Republican presidential candidates:

I have never before seen such a bunch of vile, desperate-to-please, shameless, embarrassing losers coagulated under a single party's banner. They are the most compelling argument I've seen against American exceptionalism. Even Tim Pawlenty, a decent governor, can't let a day go by without some bilious nonsense escaping his lizard brain. And, as Greg Sargent makes clear, Mitt Romney has wandered a long way from courage.

Romney's Abortion Problem?

In addition to a Mormon problem, David Bernstein argues that Mitt Romney has an abortion problem as well:

[I]t really is true that Romney ran into incredible resistance to Mormonism, particularly among evangelical voters (and thus, particularly in the South). But again, I think that resistance really grew after. I don't think so many preachers would have been describing Mormonism as such an abomination at the time, if they had been more disposed toward Romney as a candidate.

The Continuing Story of Romney's Mormon Problem

Even with rabid conservative opposition to health care reform, and his role in crafting Massachusetts' system of universal health care, Mitt Romney remains the prohibitive favor for the Republican presidential nomination. He has plenty of cash, a strong national organization, and substantial support from the GOP establishment. That said, given the religious composition of the early Republican primaries, I'm not sure if he'll have enough momentum to overcome this serious vulnerability:

The Coming Climate Clawback

In a story about how every Republican on the House Energy and Commerce Committee voted against an amendment acknowledging that climate change is real, TPM reminded us about this Politico article highlighting a problem the 2012 GOP contenders are going to have:

It may be heresy to conservatives, but a trip down memory lane shows nearly all of the top-tier Republican presidential contenders want to save the planet from global warming.

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