Given how much more closely I’ve followed Democratic politics the past four years, i’ve been embarrassed at times by my assessments or predictions of the race for the Democratic nomination.

But I think it’s safe to say that

Given how much more closely I’ve followed Democratic politics the past four years, i’ve been embarrassed at times by my assessments or predictions of the race for the Democratic nomination.

But I think it’s safe to say that this forecast was spot-on.

–Tom Schaller

Thomas F. Schaller is an associate professor of political science at the University of Maryland, Baltimore County, and author of The Stronghold: How Republicans Captured Congress but Surrendered the White House.