Tim Fernholz

… and so do Matt Yglesias, Brendan Nyhan and Jon Chait. Paul Waldman knows no one will remember if we knew what was going to happen tonight in advance. To add my voice to the chorus, I’ll simply say by way of random speculation — since there’s little else to do today; I’m actually in […]

So the Kenyan Socialist we have in the White House is so anti-business that America’s corporations are now facing record-high corporate profits and undergoing mild criticism for their offshoring practices. Luckily, Republicans are already itching to restart coordinating policy with the business-lobbying community — after they punish any company that tried to work constructively with […]

Jonathan Cohn talks to a Democratic lobbyist about Sen. Russ Feingold’s election troubles: What pisses me off is that he refuses to do any “negative” campaign ads. So he hasn’t pointed out how extreme Johnson is — especially for Wisconsin. You look at the other senators in trouble: Reid, Boxer, Bennett. They hammered their opponents […]

Ed Kilgore considers the coming defeat of the Blue Dog Democrats: [Nate Silver’s] entire projection estimates a net loss of 53 seats by Democrats, leaving a House Democratic Caucus of 203 members. In that scenario, a Blue Dog Coalition of 27 members would represent 13 percent of the caucus, as compared to 21 percent today. […]

One of the this year’s most under-covered stories is the impact that redistricting will have on national politics next year. As states reapportion their congressional geography, state legislatures and governors will have a chance to shape both the national legislature and the composition of parties, for better or worse — and see the results last […]

So I’m out and about covering “the election” and not “economic policy” until about Wednesday, but today’s news that GDP grew at only 2 annualized percent during the third quarter of this year shows us how the latter intersects roughly with the former: Whatever the politicians and activists I’m reporting on do to cajole voters, […]

The big news in Florida last night? Ben Smith’s piece on Bill Clinton‘s efforts to get Rep. Kendrick Meek to drop out of the Florida Senate race and endorse professional windsock Charlie Crist in a last-ditch attempt to stop conservative favorite Marco Rubio from winning the state’s open Senate seat. While Meek had hoped to […]

What’s the weather going to be on Election Day? In many important districts, rain is expected, and that’s got Democrats nervous. At campaign stops yesterday, Pennsylvania Senate candidate Joe Sestak asked his supporters to vote “even if it’s raining.” At Bucks County Democratic headquarters, phone-bankers offered similar reminders, and nervous operatives checked forecasts, hoping that […]

DOYLESTOWN, PA — When I sat down with Jordan Yeager, a lawyer and Democratic activist, he only had a few minutes to talk before he had to go back to work on the party’s election-protection effort. He was surprised I hadn’t heard about the controversy around the county’s absentee ballots. “It’s on Drudge,” he explained. […]