Your daily election roundup
The Votemaster
‘The Votemaster’ is the guy behind electoral-vote.com, which the Prospect has teamed up with to bring you polling analysis and predictions for the 2012 election. You can find out more about him by clicking here.
Mon, Sep. 24 Electoral Vote Predictor
Your daily election roundup
Sun, Sep. 23 Electoral Vote Predictor
Polls Aren’t Moving, Both Sides Worried The bounce President Obama got from the Democratic convention shows no sign of fading and both sides are worried. One reason the polls are not moving is that people have made up their minds and there are hardly any voters left to swing. A large fraction are not really […]
Sat, Sep. 22 Electoral Vote Predictor
Obama Leads in Poll of Swing States A new Purple Strategies poll of 12 swing states shows President Obama with a lead of 49% to 44% over Mitt Romney. In August, the same poll had Romney ahead by 1%, so this is a sharp swing towards Obama. Part of Romney’s problem is that only 38% […]
Fri, Sep. 21 Electoral Vote Predictor
Conservatives Working on Their Get-Out-The-Vote Campaign Conservative groups are getting ready for a massive get-out-the-vote campaign on (and before) election day. Groups such as the National Rifle Association and College Republicans, as well as billionaire-backed superPACs are setting up a highly sophisticated operation to match or surpass what the Democrats set up in 2008. The […]
Thu, Sep. 20 Electoral Vote Predictor
A third of Voters Less Likely to Support Romney Due to Video A new Gallup poll shows that 36% of voters are less likely to vote for Mitt Romney as a result of the video in which he said that 47% of of Americans are dependent on government and consider themselves victims. In contrast, 20% […]
Wed, Sep. 19 Electoral Vote Predictor
Romney Gets Three Pinocchios for 47% Remark The Fact Checker has carefully examined Mitt Romney’s statement that 47% of the population is “dependent on government” and awarded it three Pinocchios, meaning it is a “Significant factual error and/or obvious contradictions.” The worst possible rating is four Pinocchios. In a very literal sense, everyone is dependent […]
Tue, Sep. 18 Electoral Vote Predictor
Romney: 47 Percent Dependent on Government In 2008, then-candidate Barack Obama said people had been so beaten down by the (Bush) economy that they “get bitter and they cling to guns or religion,” not realizing that it was being recorded. He took a tremendous amount of flack for that. Now it appears to be Romney’s […]
Mon, Sep. 17 Electoral Vote Predictor
Americans Think Obama Will Win A new Wapo/ABC poll shows that 59% of the voters think President Obama will be reelected vs. 34% who think Mitt Romney will win. Note that this is a completely different question than who the voter supports. The polling data on who people will vote for gave Obama a mere […]
Why Did the Republicans Pick Hurricane-Prone Tampa?
While Tampa is subject to disruptive hurricanes from time to time, for either party it is an attractive pick in other ways. First, Florida is the mother of all swing states with the most electoral votes (29) of any swing state. Tampa is in Hillsborough County, which gave Bush 53 percent in 2004 and Obama […]

