Ron Paul Leading...on Google

Google search activity may or may not be predictive here, but this is interesting nonetheless:

Google Insights for Search
 
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For virtually all of 2011, including the past month, there is more search activity about Ron Paul than any other candidate.  I thank John Coleman for highlighting this for me.

What could this mean?  Maybe Ron Paul supporters just spend a lot of time on the internet.  Or maybe this is another indicator of the intensity of their support.  One thing supporting the latter interpretation: search activity for Paul seemed to presage his second-place finish in the Iowa Straw Poll.  If this proves true again, then Ron Paul is headed toward a strong showing in Iowa.  His poll numbers are up in Iowa as well.

I’ll go even further out on a limb.  Say Gingrich wins Iowa but does a little worse than “expected.”  Paul comes in second and does better than “expected.”  Romney comes in a distant third.  How much of a bounce would Paul then get in New Hampshire?  After all, he’s in third place there and his numbers are also trending up.

I’m not suggesting that Ron Paul is going to win the nomination.  That’s unlikely.  But at the moment, the conversation is mostly centered on Gingrich v. Romney and it may downplay the extent of Paul’s success and impact in the early states.

Comments

I don't think it'll offer him any bounce at all. Paul has a lot of qualities associated with him and "cult favorite" has always been one of them. The media is, for better or worse, pretty committed to ignoring him, and, unless he somehow lands first place in Iowa, that won't change.

I think Gingrich > Paul > Romney and Gingrich > Romney > Anyone are interchangeable scenarios, and the focus is going to be on Newt and Mitt no matter what.

People are Googling Ron Paul in Iowa because Ron Paul is aggressively campaigning there (and in New Hampshire); through television, radio, grassroots and intermittent earned media. He actively campaigns, and a result, Paul’s poll numbers are rising. When Paul and his campaign actually sell his message of less government, lower taxes, individual liberty and a constitutional foreign policy; it is so refreshing that they want to at least learn more.

Many like the above commenter “Hero of the Beach,” have been force fed mainstream media spin and the endless war/big government policy consensus; this is why what Paul says is a challenge to accept at first. Odd thing is though most people accept the challenge, and they investigate for themselves. What most find is that more liberty, less government and fewer wars is generally preferable to the present warfare/welfare statist establishment. In other words, campaign advocacy - when you actively to try to sell people ideas like peace, liberty and less government; they often will buy it. Ron Paul has the courage to advance the message, and his campaign often closes the sale.

Prospective voters have to go to the internet (and to Google) because they aren’t getting differing opinions from the mainstream media. This also explains why Paul poll numbers have risen steadily, not undulated chaotically like other candidates. His numbers go up, and they tend to stay up. This is the aggregate expression of people researching and deciding for themselves. Do we cherish more what we are issued from some authority, or what we earn and purchase for ourselves? Once we have earned it, we hold on to it.

I am a recovering Neocon; I heard little about Paul, and less of it was any good. Then I listened to him (not a third party interpretation of him), and I spent some time researching what he said for myself. I eventually arrived at: “he makes sense.” I want peace, prosperity, and less government. Only Paul is talking seriously about this; only Paul has the character to follow through on it.

I never would have voted for Ron Paul before I “Googled” him. After having done so, I cannot see myself voting for anyone else this election.

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