by Nicholas Beaudrot of Electoral Math
In 2000, fomer Sen. Bill Bradley (D-NJ) gave Al Gore something of a scare with his 47-51 near-win in the New Hampshire primary. But seasoned political observers understood that Bradley would have a hard time competing in South Carolina, Wisconsin, and so forth. Why? Exit polls showed that Bradley could only muster a majority among liberals, voters with college degrees, and households earning more than $100,000 a year. That wasn’t even enough to win a low turnout primary, even in a state with lots of affluent, socially-liberal Democrats. As the Democratic primaries moved to areas with more working class and culturally moderate/conservative voters, Bradley’s fortunes would just get worse.
Which brings us to Ned Lamont.
