Nate Silver looks at Al Franken’s odd of winning his recount election and concludes that “Franken is anywhere from the prohibitive underdog in the recount to the prohibitive favorite!” But if he had to guess, he’d put Franken’s odd of winning the recount at 44.3 percent.

Ezra Klein is a former Prospect writer and current editor-in-chief at Vox. His work has appeared in the LA Times, The Guardian, The Washington Monthly, The New Republic, Slate, and The Columbia Journalism Review. He’s been a commentator on MSNBC, CNN, NPR, and more.