John Sides

It seems obvious that they did. He outspent Gingrich 5-1 precisely when his poll numbers were increasing. But, as is well-known in social science, conclusively demonstrating the effects of campaign ads or other media is actually quite difficult. Thanks to some data that SurveyUSA was willing to provide me, I took a stab in this […]

A reading list to help unravel who voters will blame for intransigence when November arrives.

George Packer: McGovern’s debacle forced the Democratic Party to find its way back from the ideological wilderness—from being the party of delegate quotas and “acid, amnesty, and abortion.” Every successful Democrat after 1972, from Carter to Clinton to Obama, has had at least one foot in the party’s center. A Gingrich rout in November might […]

The public thinks the GOP candidate doesn’t pay his fair share, which will be a problem for the general election.

Republican elected officials and party leaders had a role in Gingrich’s Saturday coronation.

Don’t expect tonight’s address to change the fundamentals.

New research shows that Gingrich is at a disadvantage when it comes to looks in the campaign, and racial attitudes are still very strong predictors of how people feel about Barack Obama.

A vote for someone other than Romney is not necessarily a vote against Romney.