John Sides

Despite the arc of news coverage this week, Mittmentum still rules the day.

I don’t think “South Carolina politics” means what you think it means. 

The right is crowded in this primary cycle, and Romney has the Wall Street/Country Club wing of the party all to himself. 

Campaigns aren’t won by reciting facts, but that doesn’t mean that the truth can’t change minds in all circumstances. 

Brendan Nyhan: However, journalists often exaggerate the effects of supposed over- or underperformance, in part by treating the conventional wisdom about how a candidate performed relative to expectations as some sort of objective fact rather than a social construction. (Note, for instance, how DiStaso’s report takes these expectations as given rather than attributing them to […]

In the Wall Street Journal, Carl Bialik mentions some of my research with Jack Citrin in a piece called “Americans Stumble on Math of Big Issues”: Political scientists John Sides of George Washington University and Jack Citrin of the University of California, Berkeley, hypothesized in a working paper that supplying Americans, who typically overestimate the […]

My newest post at 538 looks at how beating expectations in Iowa drives media attention to candidates, which in turn helps them in New Hampshire. Here’s the graph:  More at the post.