John Sides

A new article hypothesizes about what would happen if North Korea collapsed.

Election predictions focusing on Iowa’s economy miss the fact that it’s a long election season, and overall, our country’s economy isn’t that great.

When voters discover the candidates’ Intrade probabilities, support shifts to Romney.

P. took the subway to Bowling Green. On his way to the exit, he passed a line of police officers accompanied by bomb-sniffing dogs. Outside, police had surrounded the “Charging Bull” with barricades and, a few blocks north, sealed off a stretch of Wall Street around the Stock Exchange. P. tried to look nonchalant as […]

Academics think the press needs to cover interest groups, Congress, and compromise more, even when there’s a presidential election going on. 

Lavine and his colleagues designed an online survey and got responses from a sample of about 800 citizens, including many who expressed sympathy for the Tea Party and many who did not. The survey asked about programs designed to help people who can’t keep up with their mortgage payments stay in their homes… But the […]

I think the press is way too focused on media strategies — both as they say in the business paid media and earned media — and way too little on grassroots organizing and the so-called “ground game” of politics. Interest groups get under-covered tremendously. There’s also kind of moralism in political journalism; that there are […]

The entrails of the Arab Spring suggest that Assad will be the fifth dictator to fall only if the Syrian military irrevocably splits or if international military force intervenes on the side of the opposition. Neither looks likely. The Syrian army is dominated by Assad’s Alawite minority and foreign powers have demonstrated no stomach to […]

“Record High Anti-Incumbent Sentiment,” Gallup reports.  Here’s a graph: Well, we went through this in 2010, and the reelection rate of incumbents was still 87%—a little lower than in most elections since 1970, but hardly low. In 2012, I’m even less convinced that anti-incumbency sentiment will actually get incumbents out of office.   What happened in […]