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Where the Democrats Lost

Where did the Democrats lose in 2002? A lot rides on this question; wrong answers will produce poor targeting and ineffective politics, and the Democrats can afford precious little of either. But right answers can set the stage for future gains in the 2004 election and beyond. Base Mobilization Perhaps the most common answer — […]

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Next Steps

Let’s try to organize our thinking about this election, shall we? (Those who prefer to panic may leave the room.) We’ll look at four topics, in the following order: — What happened? — Why did it happen? — Where did it happen? — What does it all mean, especially for future Democratic politics? What Happened? […]

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Itty-Bitty Agenda

Some say the Democrats don’t have the courage of their convictions. Could be. But what I worry about more is that they don’t have the courage of the public’s convictions. Take the issue of war with Iraq. Polls have consistently shown that the public is leery of unilateral action in Iraq and would prefer not […]

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Is the Big-Business Era Over?

It may be true that the era of big government being over is over, as conservative Christopher Caldwell has argued, done in by President Bush’s reluctance to challenge popular spending programs. But it may also be true that the era of big business being over has just begun. By that, I don’t mean that people […]

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Politics for Democrats

Pity the poor Democrats. They thought they had discovered the perfect issue: “fiscal discipline.” By draping themselves in the mantle of fiscal rectitude, Democrats discovered they could oppose tax cuts without advocating any specific government spending — thereby avoiding both the potentially controversial nature of any new outlay and the generic “Big Spender” label (as […]

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The Poll Truth

Over the last few months, the public’s attention has shifted dramatically from a single-minded focus on combating terrorism to concerns about the ailing economy. That’s a big and politically significant change: A bad economy almost always hurts the incumbent president’s party in congressional elections. While this shift in our collective concern should mean a big […]

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Diffident Democrats:

A recent widely noted New York Times article recounted the many difficulties that Democrats are having getting their preferred candidates to run in key races in 2002. Many prospective candidates are backing off from running because they believe that the current war against terrorism will make it too hard to run a strong campaign. The […]

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Beyond the Third Way

What is “the third way?” According to the joint declaration by Tony Blair and Gerhard Schröder (“The Third Way/Die Neue Mitte”), it is “about addressing the concerns of people who live and cope with societies undergoing rapid change–both winners and losers. In this newly emerging world, people want politicians who approach issues without […]

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Gore’s Tenuous Bond with Working Voters

A s the election goes down to the wire, it’s easy to forget how dramatically the dynamics changed in August. Before the Democratic convention, most polls showed George W. Bush with a double-digit lead over Al Gore. Media discourse was dominated by a conventional wisdom about a complacent electorate that Democrats seemingly couldn’t crack. Economically […]

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