Dan Balz’s lengthy article in The Washington Post is a useful summary of the 2020 electoral map. He identifies four states as being key to the upcoming contest: Florida and, quite properly, the Rust-Belt trio of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Let me focus here on that trio of states and run down some of the […]
Ruy Teixeira
Ruy Teixeira is a senior fellow and co-director of the Progressive Studies Program at the Center for American Progress.
Understanding Trump’s White Working Class Support
Tom Edsall’s most recent Times column claims, “We Aren’t Seeing White Support for Trump for What It Is.” The column is based heavily on a paper by political scientists Herbert Kitschelt and Philipp Rehm entitled, “Secular Partisan Realignment in the United States: The Socioeconomic Reconfiguration of White Partisan Support since the New Deal Era.” Edsall’s […]
Understanding Trump’s White Working Class Support
Tom Edsall’s most recent Times column claims, “We Aren’t Seeing White Support for Trump for What It Is.” The column is based heavily on a paper by political scientists Herbert Kitschelt and Philipp Rehm entitled, “Secular Partisan Realignment in the United States: The Socioeconomic Reconfiguration of White Partisan Support since the New Deal Era.” Edsall’s […]
The Formula for a Blue Texas
The spate of House Republican retirements in Texas—the so-called Texodus—has gotten people thinking again about Texas’s political trajectory. Is a blue Texas really on the horizon? Certainly recent trends have been very favorable. In 2018, Beto O’Rourke missed unseating Senator Ted Cruz by just 2.3 points. And, although O’Rourke fell short, Democrats picked up 12 […]
Did Third Parties Sink Hillary Clinton in 2016?
People are asking this question—or flat out claiming third parties did sink her—because they are worried about how such parties might affect the Democrats’ chances of defeating Trump in 2020. As one example, Josh Marshall recently stated: [I]t’s really the unusually high 5.7% of the vote going to three third party candidates—Gary Johnson, Jill Stein […]
Latest Polling on the Democratic Nomination Race
So much data, so little time! Probably the single thing you should be sure to look at is the RealClearPolitics rolling average of candidate preference. Right now, Biden’s still ahead, of course, with almost twice the support of Sanders and Warren, who are now quite close in the polling average. Harris is a fairly distant […]
Democrats Can and Should Expand the Map to Georgia and Arizona in 2020
While still putting the Midwest first
Democrats Need to Be the Party of and for Working People—of All Races
And they can’t retake Congress unless they win over more white workers.
Don’t Mourn, Mobilize
It’s getting harder and harder to be middle class. As a result of the Bush administration’s relentless tax-cutting agenda — designed to limit the ability of government to deliver services — the lives of middle-class Americans are becoming more difficult and less secure, in areas from health care to pensions to public schools. But, in […]
The Myth of the Investor Class
Although the ownership of stocks and bonds is more highly concentrated than ever, we’ve been hearing a great deal lately about the rise of an “investor class.” This concept, used with much abandon by free-market theorists and political operatives, holds that the simple act of participating in the stock market, even if indirectly and in […]

