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The short answer: not very well.  That’s the subject of my first post over at the Washington Post’s polling blog, Behind the Numbers.  It features this graph from Lynn Vavreck and Michael LaCour.  Below is the graph.  See the post for more.

It’s true! I read it in the Times.

As promised, here is the second part of Professor Andrew Barnes’ overview of how the field of the political-economy of post-communism has evolved over the past 20 years. In the last several years, analysts have begun to explain how post-communist political economies work in practice.  A central theme of many of these writings is the […]

Whenever I am tempted to despair of political science, I pause to consider what very smart people who can’t be bothered are apt to get up to. Today’s example comes from the august interdiscipinary journal Science, where biologists are busy drawing conclusions about uninformed citizens and democratic consensus from the behavior of golden shiners. The […]

We are pleased to welcome professors Charles Tien of Hunter College and Michael Lewis-Beck of the University of Iowa with what we hope will be a regular feature on The Monkey Cage over the next 12 months: their current “nowcast” of the 2012 presidential election. In contrast to the usual election forecasting approaches, we offer […]

My new post at 538 looks at some new research on the political attitudes of the very wealthy.  Perhaps unsurprisingly, they are different than the proverbial 99%!

With everything going on in Russia, I thought it might be a good time to revisit exactly what we know about the political economy of post-communism. I was fortunate enough to attend a wonderful conference last week at George Washington University co-sponsored by PONARS Eurasia, IERES, and the Woodrow Wilson–Kennan Institute. on “Two Decades of […]

When voters discover the candidates’ Intrade probabilities, support shifts to Romney.

In our continuing series of election reports, we welcome Tim Haughton, a 2011-12 Austrian Marshall Plan Foundation Fellow at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies and a Senior Lecturer at the University of Birmingham, and Alenka Krasovec, an Associate Professor at the University of Ljubljana, with the following report on the December 2011 […]

Continuing our series of commentaries on recent developments in Russia, we are pleased to welcome the following guest post from Thomas Remington of Emory University: Press reports in both Russia and the US of the large-scale protests against election fraud in Moscow and other large cities are characterizing this movement as the political mobilization of […]