Republicans are Doing Worse With Women Than You Thought

 


If the Swing States Poll was bad news for Mitt Romney’s performance among women voters, then the latest Pew Research Center survey is even worse—among all women, the former Massachusetts governor trails President Obama by twenty percentage points, 58 to 38. Compared to McCain's campaign in 2008, Romney is underperforming by six percentage points.

The difference between then and now is Romney's support with white women. While Romney ties Obama overall among the demographic, that has more to do with the intense antipathy of the over–65 set have for the president. When you break it down, Obama has 52 percent support among white women age 18 to 49, and 48 percent support among those age 50 to 64. But he loses the oldest group, 43 to 54.

The important thing about all of this is that white women are the demographic that keep Republicans in the running for the overall “women’s vote.” In most elections, Democrats perform extremely well among women of color, and capture a modest plurality of white women. If that were to grow to a large plurality, or a tie, then Republicans would be hard-pressed to win in swing states and other contested areas.

In other words, Republicans should hope that, by the fall, voters have forgotten their crusade against contraception and women’s health. Otherwise, they’ve just made their job much harder.

Comments

So, you're trying to tell swing voters who are women to stay away from Romney? Whatever. Romney adores his wife. He treats her with love and respect. I am a WHITE WOMAN in America who is not a polar right or a polar left voter. I am supporting Romney. He will be a terrific president.

Maybe I missed something, but I don't think he was telling whom to support... he was saying that if the GOP doesn't refrain from supporting policies that will restrict reproductive rights obtained decades ago, it will continue to hemorrhage the support of women and that it will be costly in November. How one random "WHITE WOMAN in America" decides to cast her vote is of consequence to only herself.

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