Politico’s latest scoop is the discovery, after interviews with party leader and activists, that Republicans think Mitt Romney can win the election:
Margin-of-error polling, fundraising parity last month, conservative consolidation around Romney and a still-sluggish economy has senior GOP officials increasingly bullish about a nominee many winced over during a difficult primary process. Interviews with about two dozen Republican elected officials, aides, strategists and lobbyists reveal a newfound optimism that with a competent, on-message campaign, Romney will be at least competitive with a weakened incumbent. That’s a dramatic shift from the fatalistic view many party stalwarts shared mere weeks ago.
If you have the good fortune to be a major party nominee for president then, by definition, you have a significant chance of winning the presidency. This was true for John Kerry, it was true for John McCain, and it is true for Romney. That doesn’t mean that a win is likely, but it’s silly to think a nominee has no chance at winning, barring something that would obviously disqualify them in the eyes of the public (like cannibalism).
At this point, it’s hard to put a number on Romney’s chances—the conventional wisdom is that he has 50–50 odds for winning the election—but if you assume a floor for the amount of support a nominee receives in the general election (about 45 percent), it’s crazy to think he doesn’t have a chance to win the White House. Republicans have been unduly paranoid about their chances, and if Politico tells us anything, it’s that they’ve seen the error of their ways.
You may also like:
You need to be logged in to comment.
(If there's one thing we know about comment trolls, it's that they're lazy)