By Ezra
With all the candidates announcing and the polls coming fast and furious, it seems useful to offer a survey from approximately this moment in 2004 and remind folks of its accuracy:
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 16-20, 2003. N=1,133 adults nationwide. Results shown are among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch.
"Suppose your state holds a Democratic primary or caucus for president in 2004 and the candidates are [see below] -- for whom would you vote?" If "Don't know": "Which one are you leaning toward right now?"
Joseph Lieberman 27
Richard Gephardt 14
John Edwards 11
John Kerry 10
Al Sharpton 7
Howard Dean 3
Other (vol.) 1
None (vol.) 4
Don't know 24
Tom Daschle n/a
Lieberman bombed. Gephardt was decapitated in Iowa. Edwards came from behind to net the VP slot. Kerry, in fourth place here, won the nomination. Al Sharpton got nearly no votes. And Howard Dean became, for a significant period of time, the prohibitive frontrunner.
All of which is to say, calm down.
