×
My reporting has been similar to that of Jon Cohn. Everyone I've spoken to in the administration has expressed total shock over Daschle's withdrawal. As recently as last night, they were counting votes and felt certain the nomination was on track for a bumpy but comfortable confirmation. This morning, Daschle dropped out. Conversations have not featured the sort of surprise you usually get from flacks and sources: Feigned ignorance delivered with the glossy professionalism of expertly-crafted spin. This is the sort of surprise where they're subdued on the phone. Where they pause for a long time, and then sort of sigh. Where they have no "B" list, not even off-the-record. Where they ask you if heard anything about replacements, if you maybe have any ideas, if you think this is really as bad as it looks. They weren't ready for this. They didn't choose it.Marc Ambinder reports that Daschle was wounded by the press coverage. George Stephanopoulos says Daschle lacked the stomach for the coming fight. Others tell me he concluded there was no way he could be effective in the months to come. Everyone emphasizes the emotional asymmetry of his situation: He wasn't prepared to fight because he wasn't prepared for the assault. He was surprised.Surprised.But why was he surprised? He'd cashed the checks for the speeches to the insurance industry. He'd advised UnitedHealth Group. He wasn't a victim of some heretofore unknown side effect of Ambien ("may promote ethically ambiguous but surprisingly lucrative activities"). He was a savvy political operator playing according to well-established rules. His mistake was not realizing that the rules had changed. But then, it's not clear that anyone realized the rules had changed. Not even the man who changed them.