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Yesterday, in my post on the state of the race, I was misread Tim Noah's popular vote calculations (which, to further confuse folks, actually came from Rick Hertzberg.). The point is, I wrote:
[Clinton is] far behind in the popular vote. If you add Florida, where neither campaigned, she's still 300,000 votes behind. If you cheat and add Michigan, where Obama wasn't on the ballot, and you give him the "uncommitted" voters (as some Clintonites have suggested), she's still 188,000 votes behind. If you do all of that, and then Clinton wins every remaining contest by 10 points, according to Rick Hertzberg's calculations, she'll still be 160,000 votes behind. And that doesn't even include Obama's caucusgoers, who aren't in the straight popular votes tally. Point being: She's not making up the popular vote either.I screwed up the wording in that last bit. 10-point wins in all remaining primaries (an unlikely outcome, given the polling in NC) would net Clinton about 450,000 votes, which would keep Obama ahead by 160,000 in the count that accords with the DNC's current rules, but not if you change the rules to include Florida and/or Michigan. So apologies for that screw-up.
