FOLEY THE SCAPEGOAT. So, if the GOP loses Congress next month, will it be because of Foleygate? Were the Republicans on the upswing and set to hold on to their majorities as of September 28, when the scandal broke? We're going to be hearing arguments along these lines preemptively for the next month and (depending on what actually happens on November 7) possibly for a long while after. In a must-read post over at Midterm Madness, Steve Benen takes a close look at the data and says, basically, it just ain't so. Be sure to take a look.
--Sam Rosenfeld