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- Obama won big last night, but in a campaign that hasn't done anything but surprise us so far we shouldn't be sure about what comes next. Still, the signs aren't very good for Clinton. Obama picked up support in her key demographic groups and increased support in his. He's now leading in every delegate count (even accounting for declared superdelegates), the national popular vote and in total states won. If, as seems likely, he wins in Wisconsin and Hawaii, Clinton would need to win 57 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to regain the pledged delegate lead. That would require some big wins for her in later states. There are, of course, the superdelegates, but I think the only way they decide who wins is if Obama makes some big gaffe later in the race or if Clinton manages to close the pledged delegate gap somewhat. Chadwick Matlin and Chris Cillizza have more detailed scenarios that lead to a Clinton win.
- NAACP head Julian Bond wants Florida and Michigan seated at the Democratic National Convention.
- I think this is a video from a little know 1972 Hillary Clinton for President campaign, but I'm not sure. I do know that no political video should have this much hip thrusting. A roundup of campaign songs is here.
- How would McCain run against Obama? With a "where's the beef?" sort of argument apparently. Except that Clinton has tried this with a spectacular lack of success. And while she and Obama agree on most issues there's plenty of hard facts Obama can use against McCain, like his support for perpetual war and his opposition to universal health care.
- John McCain might give up his Senate seat if/when he receives his party's nomination.
- March 4 might end up deciding both parties' nomination contests. Huckabee insiders say he'll drop out if he hasn't won any more states by then.
--Sam Boyd
