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- Strange but true: if you promise lots of big tax cuts, and no new taxes, and a balanced budget, you're almost certainly lying about something. John McCain apparently doesn't realize that saying 1 - 1 = 2 is not straight talk.
- The North Carolina GOP is running an an ad against two Democratic candidates in the state who have endorsed Obama using footage of Jeremiah Wright's "God damn America" sermon. The ad is pretty much what you'd expect: OMG! Barack Obama like totally "SAT IN HIS PEW!!!" while some black dude said some bad things about America. He clearly is a terrorist!!! Except that he wasn't actually in the church when the clip the ad uses was recorded. As Kevin Drum pointed out, John McCain and the national RNC chairman Mike Duncan are so outraged that they ... sent an email and left a polite voice mail message respectively. Feel the fury! I'm sure with this kind of strong response we won't see these sorts of tactics in the general election.
- Marc Ambinder makes a weirdly compelling, though ultimately unconvincing, case that Obama's loss in Pennsylvania might actually make superdelegates more likely to endorse him than they would have been had he lost more narrowly. Still, even if this isn't completely right, it still suggests that the effect of Pennsylvania is more complicated than we realize.
- Christopher Beam makes an under-appreciated point: We have no idea what the actual popular vote is because there's just no way to know how many people caucused in caucus states and, anyway, caucus turnout isn't comparable to primary turnout.
- The Clinton campaign looks likely to raise $10 million today.
- Tom explains how Clinton's victory is due to her mad skillz with white women.
- Jonathan Cohn has a great post which points out that, despite two months of Wrightgate, bittergate, Tuzlagate, etc., Obama and Clinton have maintained a steady tie with McCain in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups. That suggests that there's a ceiling on McCain's support of 45 percent and that once the general election actually starts, whoever takes the Democratic nomination will take the lead.
--Sam Boyd
