by Nicholas Beaudrot of Electoral Math
I've got 'rents visiting, and therefore not enough time to put together a table, so me follow Brother Neil's observations re: Missouri polling. Via TPM Election Central, SurveyUSA's Ohio polling again shows John Edwards as the best general election candidate in the state. Edwards and Clinton both trail Giuliani by one percentage point, but Edwards fares much better against Romney and Thompson than Clinton does. Since Ohio will have a number of competitive House races, the bigger the margin in the Buckeye State at the top of the ticket, the better.
In fairness, general election matchups in Virginia and Florida have shown Clinton with a lead in Virginia [though without comparison to Edwards or Obama], and tied with Giuliani in Florida, so at present it appears that the two candidates both expand the map, just in different directions.
