by Nicholas Beaudrot of Electoral Math
The Great Orange Satan is too charitable to Senate GOP "moderates" when he says "We don't need 60". Unless there's a fear of defeat in the next election, the GOP is going to fight tooth and claw to defeat any sort of progress on the Democratic agenda. The cloture motion for the Employee Free Choice Act got one Republican vote (Arlen Specter). While lots of Republicans are supporting CHIP expansion, and Ron Wyden is at least getting people like Bob Bennett and Judd Gregg to listen to health care proposals, they'll still find reasons to vote against them when the time comes. The only way to change this dynamic is to force more GOP Senators to fear for their reelection, and other than Jim Bunning, I'm not sure who's really that worried.
As for individual races, the past few weeks have been something of a mixed bag:
