Is Obama in danger of falling to the same fate as Hoover?
Andrew Gelman
Andrew Gelman is a professor of statistics and political science and director of the Applied Statistics Center at Columbia University. He has received the Outstanding Statistical Application award from the American Statistical Association, the award for best article published in the American Political Science Review, and the Council of Presidents of Statistical Societies award for outstanding contributions by a person under the age of 40.
Do We Have a Civic Duty to Listen to Pollsters During Dinner?
Until then, I’m hanging up.
America’s Increasing Economic Inequality
Some links to reviews of the newest research.
Unpacking the “Zombie” Confusion
When it comes to explaining whether poor whites vote Republican, trust the statistics.
More on political opinions of U.S. military
Following up on this and this, Paul Gronke writes: There is a fairly active literature on attitudes of military personnel. The bulk of the literature has come out of sociology, much of it inspired by the pioneering work of Morris Janowitz (Chicago) and Charles Moskos (Northwestern, passed away in 2008). The primary academic journal in […]
Military officers have different opinions than enlisted personnel
Josh asks about political opinions of U.S. military personnel. Jason Dempsey and Bob Shapiro have done some work on this. Here’s Dempsey’s website, and here’s something he wrote a few years ago that’s relevant to the discussion: The Military Times released the results of a survey showing that members of the armed services planned to […]
Don’t Pull a Tucker Carlson
Charles Murray tries to argue that top 5 percenters are all liberal. He’s wrong, and we have graphs to prove it.
The Politics of Eyeliner
Good catch by Leslie Savan: Here’s how the New York Post’s Andrea Peyser began a column (“Jobless & Shameless Gal Going for Gold”) on one of the women charging Herman Cain with sexual harassment: Gold diggers-unite! Sharon Bialek is 50, out of work and, according to one who knows her, she’s a smooth operator living […]
Is “Academically Adrift” statistically adrift?
Jacob Felson points me to this discussion by Alexander Astin of a recent book on college education: The implications of the study recently released with the book Academically Adrift: Limited Learning on College Campuses, by Richard Arum and Josipa Roksa, have been portrayed . . . in apocalyptic terms: “extremely devastating in what it says […]

